Of the 68 Muslim candidates The Hindu Data Team is tracking for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, 21 have won while 47 have lost. For our analysis, we checked candidates from the following major parties: BJP, Congress, IUML, AIMIM, AITC, YSRCP, TDP, CPI, CPM, CPI(ML)(L), CPI(M), BJD, RJD, JD(U), LJP, AAP, JD(S), JMM, AIUDF, NCP, Shiv Sena, Shiv Sena (UBT), BRS, Jammu and Kashmir Nationalist Peoples Front, and Jammu & Kashmir National Conference.
Of the 4 Samajwadi Party Muslim candidates we tracked in Uttar Pradesh all the candidates won.
Of the 19 Congress Muslim candidates we tracked, 7 have won. Of the 11 Muslim candidates from the CPI(M) we tracked, none have won. And of the 10 All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen candidates, 1 has won. Notably, Abdul Salam, the BJP’s lone Muslim candidate in all of India, is contesting from Malappuram, and he lost.
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In West Bengal, we tracked 18 candidates fielded by various parties. Of them, 6 have won in the 2024 polls. We also tracked nine Muslim candidates from Bihar, of which 2 candidates have won. Of the seven Muslim candidates in Kerala, 2 have won. And of the 6 Muslim candidates in Jammu and Kashmir UT, 2 have won in the State.
Table 1 | The table lists the Muslim candidates who won in the 2024 Lok Sabha election
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To identify Muslim MPs, we implemented character-based machine learning models developed by Rachana and Sugat Chaturvedi in their 2023 paper “It’s all in the name: A character-based approach to infer religion”. Their algorithm was applied to the names of MPs to predict their religion. This was followed by manual checks to correct false positives and false negatives. This model captured most of the Muslim MPs yet the list is not exhaustive.
Table 2 | The table lists the Muslim candidates who lost in the 2024 Lok Sabha election
